Our 2025 Oscar Winner Predictions

As the 97th Academy Awards approach on March 2, 2025, the excitement is at an all-time high.

With a diverse selection of films, powerhouse performances, and visionary direction, this year’s race is may be one of the most unpredictable in recent memory.

After analyzing industry trends and critical reception, here are our predictions for who will win on Hollywood’s biggest night.

Best Picture: Anora

Sean Baker’s Anora has emerged as the clear frontrunner, especially after winning the Producers Guild of America (PGA) Award, which is often a reliable indicator of the Best Picture winner. This dark comedy and emotionally charged film has captivated critics and audiences alike, solidifying its place as the one to beat.

While Emilia Pérez boasts a record-breaking 13 nominations and remains a formidable competitor, Anora’s growing momentum makes it my pick for the top prize.

Best Director: Sean Baker (Anora)

Sean Baker’s masterful direction in Anora has earned widespread acclaim, and his recent Directors Guild of America (DGA) puts him as the favorite. His ability to blend humor, grit, and social commentary into a compelling cinematic experience makes him the likely choice for the Academy.

That said, Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez) and Brady Corbet (The Brutalist) also delivered remarkable directorial feats and could pose an upset.

Best Actress: Demi Moore (The Substance)

Demi Moore’s career-defining performance in The Substance has been one of the biggest talking points of the season. With Golden Globe and SAG wins under her belt, she seems poised to take home her first Oscar.

However, Mikey Madison (Anora) has also received rave reviews, and an upset is not out of the question.

Best Actor: Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)

Adrien Brody delivers a career-best performance in The Brutalist, a film that showcases his remarkable intensity. His emotionally charged performance has earned him critical acclaim and multiple awards, including the BAFTA and Golden Globe.

Though Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) has been a strong contender, especially after his SAG win, Brody’s transformative role may give him the edge with the Academy.

Best Supporting Actor: Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)

Kieran Culkin has been gaining traction in this category from his emotionally charged performance in A Real Pain. His work has resonated with critics, and given his recent awards season success, he is the likely winner.

Best Supporting Actress: Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)

Zoe Saldaña’s performance in Emilia Pérez has been widely praised, making her the favorite in this category. Her role has been a standout in the film, and industry buzz suggests she will be rewarded with her first Oscar.